Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. So far, so good. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Maybe that one would have been better. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. dr ali binazir odds of being born. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. But on all probability it would. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. So what's the probability of your being born? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They agree to within a factor of two! And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. You get the volume of planet Earth. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. What are the odds of that? Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. That's 150,000 generations. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Part of HuffPost Wellness. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. June 5. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. You can start the series by clicking HERE. Probability is a pure odd. dr ali binazir odds of being born. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Dr. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). But lets think about this some more. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Which one's bigger? It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. saving. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. On one try. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. How fast does a laden fly fly? Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Thats a pretty good trip. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). On one try. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Step 2. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. But Im not mathy. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Step 1. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. On one try.. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Same to all of us. Thats going to take a LONG time. Its maddening to see people worry so much. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Hello there! Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Why? Or stalk me (with love.). Step 4. Step 4. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. One in 2,000. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. I think that was exactly Msgr. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. Thats 150,000 generations. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth.
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